CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
HEROIC Academy#100 in the world · win 2:0series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TNC#147 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
46%65%
HEROIC Academy · 9 mapsedge TNC +19%TNC · 13 maps
AncientTNC pick
45%53%
HEROIC Academy · 7 mapsedge TNC +8%TNC · 13 maps
NukeHEROIC Academy ban
29%58%
HEROIC Academy · 3 mapsedge TNC +29%TNC · 15 maps
Dust2TNC ban
20%33%
HEROIC Academy · 6 mapsedge TNC +13%TNC · 11 maps
AnubisHEROIC Academy ban
36%62%
HEROIC Academy · 7 mapsedge TNC +26%TNC · 9 maps
OverpassTNC ban
43%33%
HEROIC Academy · 3 mapsedge HEROIC Academy +10%TNC · 5 maps
DefaultHEROIC Academy pick
50%38%
HEROIC Academy · 0 mapsedge HEROIC Academy +12%TNC · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHEROIC Academy remove Nuke
2. BanTNC remove Overpass
3. PickHEROIC Academy take Default
4. PickTNC take Ancient
5. BanTNC remove Dust2
6. BanHEROIC Academy remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (46% / 65%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
HEROIC Academy 35%TNC 65%
The model gave 65% on TNC — the map was taken by HEROIC Academy.
Anubisprediction missed13:6
HEROIC Academy 24%TNC 76%
The model gave 76% on TNC — the map was taken by HEROIC Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC · 69%
Series resultHEROIC Academy 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2