CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#33 in the world · win 2:1series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
50%59%
1win · 4 mapsedge Lavked +9%Lavked · 28 maps
Dust21win pick
57%43%
1win · 3 mapsedge 1win +14%Lavked · 17 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%55%
1win · 0 mapsedge Lavked +5%Lavked · 18 maps
Ancient1win ban
50%80%
1win · 2 mapsedge Lavked +30%Lavked · 11 maps
InfernoLavked ban
60%31%
1win · 1 mapedge 1win +29%Lavked · 9 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%55%
1win · 0 mapsedge Lavked +5%Lavked · 7 maps
OverpassLavked ban
33%50%
1win · 2 mapsedge Lavked +17%Lavked · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Nuke
2. BanLavked remove Inferno
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. PickLavked take Mirage
5. BanLavked remove Overpass
6. Ban1win remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (50% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed13:8
1win 36%Lavked 64%
The model gave 64% on Lavked — the map was taken by 1win.
Mirageprediction correct8:13
1win 38%Lavked 62%
The model gave 62% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Anubisprediction missed13:8
1win 45%Lavked 55%
The model gave 55% on Lavked — the map was taken by 1win.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 61%
Series result1win 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3