IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
Sharks#51 in the world · loss 5:13series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 5:13
Lynn Vision#39 in the world · win 13:5The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeLynn Vision ban
67%57%
Sharks · 8 mapsedge Sharks +10%Lynn Vision · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
56%56%
Sharks · 5 mapsnearly even +0%Lynn Vision · 5 maps
Dust2Sharks ban
50%67%
Sharks · 0 mapsedge Lynn Vision +17%Lynn Vision · 8 maps
InfernoSharks ban
67%43%
Sharks · 2 mapsedge Sharks +24%Lynn Vision · 3 maps
AnubisLynn Vision ban
60%50%
Sharks · 1 mapedge Sharks +10%Lynn Vision · 2 maps
MirageLynn Vision ban
29%50%
Sharks · 3 mapsedge Lynn Vision +21%Lynn Vision · 0 maps
OverpassSharks ban
33%60%
Sharks · 2 mapsedge Lynn Vision +27%Lynn Vision · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSharks remove Dust2
2. BanLynn Vision remove Mirage
3. BanSharks remove Overpass
4. BanLynn Vision remove Anubis
5. BanSharks remove Inferno
6. BanLynn Vision remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (56% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct5:13
Sharks 25%Lynn Vision 75%
The model gave 75% on Lynn Vision — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Model check result
Model favoriteLynn Vision · 53%
Series resultLynn Vision 5:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1