CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
100 Thieves#37 in the world · win 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ursa#88 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Ursa pick
67%60%
100 Thieves · 2 mapsedge 100 Thieves +7%Ursa · 16 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%38%
100 Thieves · 6 mapsedge 100 Thieves +12%Ursa · 12 maps
Mirage100 Thieves ban
50%46%
100 Thieves · 6 mapsnearly even +4%Ursa · 9 maps
Inferno100 Thieves pick
50%36%
100 Thieves · 6 mapsedge 100 Thieves +14%Ursa · 7 maps
AncientUrsa ban
58%50%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsedge 100 Thieves +8%Ursa · 0 maps
OverpassUrsa ban
60%33%
100 Thieves · 1 mapedge 100 Thieves +27%Ursa · 5 maps
Anubis100 Thieves ban
60%50%
100 Thieves · 1 mapedge 100 Thieves +10%Ursa · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban100 Thieves remove Anubis
2. BanUrsa remove Ancient
3. Pick100 Thieves take Inferno
4. PickUrsa take Dust2
5. BanUrsa remove Overpass
6. Ban100 Thieves remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (50% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
100 Thieves 66%Ursa 34%
The model gave 66% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
100 Thieves 54%Ursa 46%
The model gave 54% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Model check result
Model favorite100 Thieves · 60%
Series result100 Thieves 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2