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European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#140 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
54%71%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 9 mapsedge GenOne +17%GenOne · 24 maps
NukeCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
40%57%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 6 mapsedge GenOne +17%GenOne · 19 maps
AncientCYBERSHOKE Prospects pick
75%42%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 4 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +33%GenOne · 15 maps
Infernopossible decider
64%58%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 7 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +6%GenOne · 8 maps
AnubisGenOne ban
57%60%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 3 mapsnearly even -3%GenOne · 6 maps
OverpassCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
50%42%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +8%GenOne · 8 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%50%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 4 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Overpass
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickCYBERSHOKE Prospects take Ancient
4. PickGenOne take Dust2
5. BanGenOne remove Anubis
6. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (64% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 29%GenOne 71%
The model gave 71% on GenOne — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Ancientprediction missed3:13
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 82%GenOne 18%
The model gave 82% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by GenOne.
Anubisprediction correct2:13
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 47%GenOne 53%
The model gave 53% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 63%
Series resultGenOne 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3