CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ASTRAL#97 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
58%54%
Lavked · 27 mapsnearly even +4%ASTRAL · 9 maps
AncientASTRAL pick
80%61%
Lavked · 11 mapsedge Lavked +19%ASTRAL · 19 maps
Dust2possible decider
43%50%
Lavked · 17 mapsedge ASTRAL +7%ASTRAL · 12 maps
NukeASTRAL ban
55%36%
Lavked · 18 mapsedge Lavked +19%ASTRAL · 7 maps
InfernoLavked ban
31%38%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge ASTRAL +7%ASTRAL · 9 maps
AnubisLavked ban
50%75%
Lavked · 6 mapsedge ASTRAL +25%ASTRAL · 4 maps
OverpassASTRAL ban
50%50%
Lavked · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ASTRAL · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Anubis
2. BanASTRAL remove Overpass
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickASTRAL take Ancient
5. BanASTRAL remove Nuke
6. BanLavked remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
Lavked 57%ASTRAL 43%
The model gave 57% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Anubisprediction missed13:7
Lavked 23%ASTRAL 77%
The model gave 77% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 62%
Series resultLavked 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2