IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM#13 in the world · win 13:4series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 13:4
Gaimin Gladiators#46 in the world · loss 4:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
44%50%
BETBOOM · 5 mapsedge Gaimin Gladiators +6%Gaimin Gladiators · 0 maps
MirageBETBOOM ban
33%33%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Gaimin Gladiators · 2 maps
OverpassBETBOOM ban
40%33%
BETBOOM · 1 mapedge BETBOOM +7%Gaimin Gladiators · 2 maps
AnubisGaimin Gladiators ban
67%50%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge BETBOOM +17%Gaimin Gladiators · 0 maps
Dust2Gaimin Gladiators ban
67%50%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge BETBOOM +17%Gaimin Gladiators · 0 maps
AncientBETBOOM ban
40%50%
BETBOOM · 1 mapedge Gaimin Gladiators +10%Gaimin Gladiators · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBETBOOM remove Mirage
2. BanGaimin Gladiators remove Anubis
3. BanBETBOOM remove Ancient
4. BanGaimin Gladiators remove Dust2
5. BanBETBOOM remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (44% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
BETBOOM 67%Gaimin Gladiators 33%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM · 85%
Series resultBETBOOM 13:4
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1