CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom#88 in the world · win 2:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageDragonClaw pick
47%60%
Phantom · 11 mapsedge DragonClaw +13%DragonClaw · 1 map
Dust2Phantom pick
67%40%
Phantom · 8 mapsedge Phantom +27%DragonClaw · 1 map
NukeDragonClaw ban
54%50%
Phantom · 9 mapsnearly even +4%DragonClaw · 0 maps
AncientDragonClaw ban
44%50%
Phantom · 5 mapsedge DragonClaw +6%DragonClaw · 0 maps
OverpassPhantom ban
50%60%
Phantom · 4 mapsedge DragonClaw +10%DragonClaw · 1 map
AnubisPhantom ban
50%67%
Phantom · 0 mapsedge DragonClaw +17%DragonClaw · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom remove Anubis
2. BanDragonClaw remove Ancient
3. PickPhantom take Dust2
4. PickDragonClaw take Mirage
5. BanDragonClaw remove Nuke
6. BanPhantom remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
Phantom 34%DragonClaw 66%
The model gave 66% on DragonClaw — the map was taken by DragonClaw.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Phantom 77%DragonClaw 23%
The model gave 77% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Overpassprediction missed13:10
Phantom 40%DragonClaw 60%
The model gave 60% on DragonClaw — the map was taken by Phantom.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 58%
Series resultPhantom 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3