BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora#6 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
G2#7 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAurora ban
56%69%
Aurora · 5 mapsedge G2 +13%G2 · 9 maps
AnubisAurora pick
67%33%
Aurora · 8 mapsedge Aurora +34%G2 · 5 maps
Dust2G2 ban
50%40%
Aurora · 6 mapsedge Aurora +10%G2 · 6 maps
NukeG2 ban
69%50%
Aurora · 9 mapsedge Aurora +19%G2 · 0 maps
AncientAurora ban
40%27%
Aurora · 1 mapedge Aurora +13%G2 · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%78%
Aurora · 2 mapsedge G2 +11%G2 · 5 maps
OverpassG2 pick
60%67%
Aurora · 1 mapedge G2 +7%G2 · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAurora remove Ancient
2. BanG2 remove Nuke
3. PickAurora take Anubis
4. PickG2 take Overpass
5. BanG2 remove Dust2
6. BanAurora remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (67% / 78%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct5:13
Aurora 34%G2 66%
The model gave 66% on G2 — the map was taken by G2.
Anubisprediction missed12:16
Aurora 82%G2 18%
The model gave 82% on Aurora — the map was taken by G2.
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora · 55%
Series resultG2 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2