FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
PURE#126 in the world · loss 10:13series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 10:13
aimclub#98 in the world · win 13:10The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragePURE ban
40%58%
PURE · 6 mapsedge aimclub +18%aimclub · 8 maps
Infernopossible decider
57%70%
PURE · 3 mapsedge aimclub +13%aimclub · 6 maps
Ancientaimclub ban
50%30%
PURE · 2 mapsedge PURE +20%aimclub · 6 maps
Dust2PURE ban
67%33%
PURE · 2 mapsedge PURE +34%aimclub · 5 maps
AnubisPURE ban
50%60%
PURE · 0 mapsedge aimclub +10%aimclub · 6 maps
Cacheaimclub ban
57%57%
PURE · 3 mapsnearly even +0%aimclub · 3 maps
Nukeaimclub ban
50%50%
PURE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%aimclub · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPURE remove Anubis
2. Banaimclub remove Nuke
3. BanPURE remove Mirage
4. Banaimclub remove Ancient
5. BanPURE remove Dust2
6. Banaimclub remove Cache
DeciderInferno (57% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
PURE 80%aimclub 20%
The model gave 80% on PURE — the map was taken by aimclub.
Model check result
Model favoriteaimclub · 74%
Series resultaimclub 10:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1