FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 13:8series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 13:8
Famalicão#153 in the world · loss 8:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientFamalicão ban
64%36%
Lazer Cats · 7 mapsedge Lazer Cats +28%Famalicão · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
63%50%
Lazer Cats · 4 mapsedge Lazer Cats +13%Famalicão · 4 maps
Dust2Lazer Cats ban
33%63%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge Famalicão +30%Famalicão · 4 maps
CacheLazer Cats ban
50%43%
Lazer Cats · 0 mapsedge Lazer Cats +7%Famalicão · 3 maps
MirageLazer Cats ban
50%60%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 1 map
NukeFamalicão ban
43%50%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsedge Famalicão +7%Famalicão · 0 maps
DefaultFamalicão ban
67%50%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge Lazer Cats +17%Famalicão · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLazer Cats remove Cache
2. BanFamalicão remove Nuke
3. BanLazer Cats remove Dust2
4. BanFamalicão remove Default
5. BanLazer Cats remove Mirage
6. BanFamalicão remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (63% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:8
Lazer Cats 50%Famalicão 50%
The model gave 50% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteFamalicão · 57%
Series resultLazer Cats 13:8
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1