BetBoom Circuit X Base Recife 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#65 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LP#107 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
63%60%
BESTIA · 4 mapsnearly even +3%LP · 11 maps
AncientBESTIA ban
60%54%
BESTIA · 1 mapedge BESTIA +6%LP · 9 maps
InfernoLP pick
60%75%
BESTIA · 1 mapedge LP +15%LP · 8 maps
MirageLP ban
60%64%
BESTIA · 1 mapnearly even -4%LP · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%60%
BESTIA · 2 mapsedge LP +10%LP · 6 maps
OverpassLP ban
40%44%
BESTIA · 1 mapnearly even -4%LP · 5 maps
DefaultBESTIA ban
50%60%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge LP +10%LP · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Default
2. BanLP remove Mirage
3. PickBESTIA take Dust2
4. PickLP take Inferno
5. BanLP remove Overpass
6. BanBESTIA remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:2
BESTIA 49%LP 51%
The model gave 51% on LP — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Infernoprediction correct14:16
BESTIA 31%LP 69%
The model gave 69% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
BESTIA 40%LP 60%
The model gave 60% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 66%
Series resultLP 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3