CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ASTRAL#97 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientASTRAL pick
25%64%
Leo · 4 mapsedge ASTRAL +39%ASTRAL · 18 maps
Dust2Leo pick
67%43%
Leo · 5 mapsedge Leo +24%ASTRAL · 10 maps
Anubispossible decider
36%71%
Leo · 7 mapsedge ASTRAL +35%ASTRAL · 3 maps
MirageASTRAL ban
60%54%
Leo · 1 mapedge Leo +6%ASTRAL · 9 maps
InfernoASTRAL ban
60%33%
Leo · 1 mapedge Leo +27%ASTRAL · 8 maps
NukeLeo ban
33%36%
Leo · 2 mapsnearly even -3%ASTRAL · 7 maps
DefaultLeo ban
50%60%
Leo · 0 mapsedge ASTRAL +10%ASTRAL · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Nuke
2. BanASTRAL remove Inferno
3. PickLeo take Dust2
4. PickASTRAL take Ancient
5. BanASTRAL remove Mirage
6. BanLeo remove Default
DeciderAnubis (36% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
Leo 14%ASTRAL 86%
The model gave 86% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by Leo.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
Leo 75%ASTRAL 25%
The model gave 75% on Leo — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Anubisprediction correct11:13
Leo 19%ASTRAL 81%
The model gave 81% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Model check result
Model favoriteASTRAL · 63%
Series resultASTRAL 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3