CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Ares#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vexar#141 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoG2 Ares pick
58%50%
G2 Ares · 8 mapsedge G2 Ares +8%Vexar · 2 maps
MirageVexar ban
50%50%
G2 Ares · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Vexar · 0 maps
AncientG2 Ares ban
44%67%
G2 Ares · 5 mapsedge Vexar +23%Vexar · 2 maps
Dust2Vexar pick
56%60%
G2 Ares · 5 mapsnearly even -4%Vexar · 1 map
DefaultG2 Ares ban
50%63%
G2 Ares · 0 mapsedge Vexar +13%Vexar · 4 maps
OverpassVexar ban
63%50%
G2 Ares · 4 mapsedge G2 Ares +13%Vexar · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
67%50%
G2 Ares · 2 mapsedge G2 Ares +17%Vexar · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 Ares remove Ancient
2. BanVexar remove Overpass
3. PickG2 Ares take Inferno
4. PickVexar take Dust2
5. BanVexar remove Mirage
6. BanG2 Ares remove Default
DeciderAnubis (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
G2 Ares 53%Vexar 47%
The model gave 53% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
G2 Ares 26%Vexar 74%
The model gave 74% on Vexar — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 69%
Series resultG2 Ares 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2