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FRAG TAP Reloaded 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
SportsBetExpert#69 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Chicken Coop#151 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoSportsBetExpert pick
67%63%
SportsBetExpert · 2 mapsnearly even +4%Chicken Coop · 4 maps
Dust2Chicken Coop ban
60%38%
SportsBetExpert · 1 mapedge SportsBetExpert +22%Chicken Coop · 4 maps
NukeSportsBetExpert ban
50%44%
SportsBetExpert · 0 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +6%Chicken Coop · 5 maps
AncientSportsBetExpert ban
60%50%
SportsBetExpert · 1 mapedge SportsBetExpert +10%Chicken Coop · 2 maps
OverpassChicken Coop pick
50%57%
SportsBetExpert · 0 mapsedge Chicken Coop +7%Chicken Coop · 3 maps
AnubisChicken Coop ban
67%50%
SportsBetExpert · 2 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +17%Chicken Coop · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
SportsBetExpert · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Chicken Coop · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSportsBetExpert remove Nuke
2. BanChicken Coop remove Anubis
3. PickSportsBetExpert take Inferno
4. PickChicken Coop take Overpass
5. BanChicken Coop remove Dust2
6. BanSportsBetExpert remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct10:13
SportsBetExpert 40%Chicken Coop 60%
The model gave 60% on Chicken Coop — the map was taken by Chicken Coop.
Infernoprediction missed5:13
SportsBetExpert 58%Chicken Coop 42%
The model gave 58% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by Chicken Coop.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Coop · 61%
Series resultChicken Coop 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2