Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientQueenConso ban
50%39%
QueenConso · 0 mapsedge QueenConso +11%EAC · 14 maps
NukeQueenConso pick
40%38%
QueenConso · 1 mapnearly even +2%EAC · 12 maps
MirageQueenConso ban
50%46%
QueenConso · 0 mapsnearly even +4%EAC · 9 maps
CacheEAC pick
50%58%
QueenConso · 0 mapsedge EAC +8%EAC · 8 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%50%
QueenConso · 0 mapsnearly even +0%EAC · 8 maps
AnubisEAC ban
40%63%
QueenConso · 1 mapedge EAC +23%EAC · 4 maps
InfernoEAC ban
50%22%
QueenConso · 0 mapsedge QueenConso +28%EAC · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQueenConso remove Mirage
2. BanEAC remove Inferno
3. PickQueenConso take Nuke
4. PickEAC take Cache
5. BanEAC remove Anubis
6. BanQueenConso remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
QueenConso 56%EAC 44%
The model gave 56% on QueenConso — the map was taken by EAC.
Mirageprediction missed5:13
QueenConso 51%EAC 49%
The model gave 51% on QueenConso — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 80%
Series resultEAC 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2