ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 13:7series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 13:7
Nordic Partners#118 in the world · loss 7:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Cachepossible decider
56%33%
Eternal Fire · 14 mapsedge Eternal Fire +23%Nordic Partners · 5 maps
MirageEternal Fire ban
56%56%
Eternal Fire · 14 mapsnearly even +0%Nordic Partners · 5 maps
AnubisEternal Fire ban
58%43%
Eternal Fire · 8 mapsedge Eternal Fire +15%Nordic Partners · 10 maps
AncientNordic Partners ban
61%33%
Eternal Fire · 14 mapsedge Eternal Fire +28%Nordic Partners · 2 maps
Dust2Nordic Partners ban
71%29%
Eternal Fire · 13 mapsedge Eternal Fire +42%Nordic Partners · 3 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
57%29%
Eternal Fire · 10 mapsedge Eternal Fire +28%Nordic Partners · 3 maps
DefaultNordic Partners ban
57%50%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%Nordic Partners · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Anubis
2. BanNordic Partners remove Ancient
3. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
4. BanNordic Partners remove Dust2
5. BanEternal Fire remove Mirage
6. BanNordic Partners remove Default
DeciderCache (56% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:7
Eternal Fire 71%Nordic Partners 29%
The model gave 71% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 74%
Series resultEternal Fire 13:7
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1