ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
100 Thieves#37 in the world · win 13:3series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 13:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Anteiku ban
71%40%
100 Thieves · 10 mapsedge 100 Thieves +31%Anteiku · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
58%60%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsnearly even -2%Anteiku · 1 map
MirageAnteiku ban
67%40%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsedge 100 Thieves +27%Anteiku · 1 map
NukeAnteiku ban
46%50%
100 Thieves · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Anteiku · 0 maps
Ancient100 Thieves ban
42%50%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsedge Anteiku +8%Anteiku · 0 maps
Anubis100 Thieves ban
50%50%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Anteiku · 0 maps
Cache100 Thieves ban
60%50%
100 Thieves · 1 mapedge 100 Thieves +10%Anteiku · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban100 Thieves remove Cache
2. BanAnteiku remove Nuke
3. Ban100 Thieves remove Ancient
4. BanAnteiku remove Dust2
5. Ban100 Thieves remove Anubis
6. BanAnteiku remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (58% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
100 Thieves 42%Anteiku 58%
The model gave 58% on Anteiku — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Model check result
Model favorite100 Thieves · 87%
Series result100 Thieves 13:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1