ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · win 13:2series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 13:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeXEPT ban
68%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 18 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +18%XEPT · 0 maps
AncientXEPT ban
57%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 17 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +7%XEPT · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
47%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 15 mapsnearly even -3%XEPT · 0 maps
CacheNinjas in Pyjamas ban
38%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 9 mapsedge XEPT +12%XEPT · 0 maps
InfernoXEPT ban
54%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 9 mapsnearly even +4%XEPT · 0 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
33%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsedge XEPT +17%XEPT · 0 maps
AnubisNinjas in Pyjamas ban
50%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 4 mapsnearly even +0%XEPT · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
2. BanXEPT remove Nuke
3. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Cache
4. BanXEPT remove Ancient
5. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Anubis
6. BanXEPT remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (47% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:2
Ninjas in Pyjamas 54%XEPT 46%
The model gave 54% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Model check result
Model favoriteNinjas in Pyjamas · 85%
Series resultNinjas in Pyjamas 13:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1