ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 4:13
HAVU#107 in the world · win 13:4The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeXEPT ban
50%75%
XEPT · 0 mapsedge HAVU +25%HAVU · 16 maps
MirageXEPT ban
50%50%
XEPT · 0 mapsnearly even +0%HAVU · 12 maps
Dust2HAVU ban
50%36%
XEPT · 0 mapsedge XEPT +14%HAVU · 10 maps
InfernoHAVU ban
40%44%
XEPT · 1 mapnearly even -4%HAVU · 5 maps
AncientXEPT ban
50%44%
XEPT · 0 mapsedge XEPT +6%HAVU · 5 maps
CacheHAVU ban
50%33%
XEPT · 0 mapsedge XEPT +17%HAVU · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
XEPT · 0 mapsnearly even +0%HAVU · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanXEPT remove Nuke
2. BanHAVU remove Cache
3. BanXEPT remove Ancient
4. BanHAVU remove Dust2
5. BanXEPT remove Mirage
6. BanHAVU remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed4:13
XEPT 50%HAVU 50%
The model gave 50% on XEPT — the map was taken by HAVU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 65%
Series resultHAVU 4:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1