ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
BBL#49 in the world · win 13:4series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 13:4
SportsBetExpert#69 in the world · loss 4:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeSportsBetExpert ban
53%75%
BBL · 13 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +22%SportsBetExpert · 12 maps
MirageBBL ban
42%83%
BBL · 8 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +41%SportsBetExpert · 14 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%72%
BBL · 6 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +22%SportsBetExpert · 14 maps
CacheSportsBetExpert ban
33%42%
BBL · 5 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +9%SportsBetExpert · 8 maps
Dust2BBL ban
50%50%
BBL · 0 mapsnearly even +0%SportsBetExpert · 10 maps
AnubisBBL ban
40%64%
BBL · 1 mapedge SportsBetExpert +24%SportsBetExpert · 7 maps
AncientSportsBetExpert ban
50%50%
BBL · 4 mapsnearly even +0%SportsBetExpert · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBBL remove Dust2
2. BanSportsBetExpert remove Ancient
3. BanBBL remove Anubis
4. BanSportsBetExpert remove Cache
5. BanBBL remove Mirage
6. BanSportsBetExpert remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (50% / 72%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:4
BBL 28%SportsBetExpert 72%
The model gave 72% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by BBL.
Model check result
Model favoriteBBL · 62%
Series resultBBL 13:4
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1