ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
BC.Game#60 in the world · loss 14:16series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 14:16
Prestige#100 in the world · win 16:14The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBC.Game ban
50%60%
BC.Game · 6 mapsedge Prestige +10%Prestige · 1 map
MiragePrestige ban
67%60%
BC.Game · 5 mapsedge BC.Game +7%Prestige · 1 map
InfernoPrestige ban
71%50%
BC.Game · 3 mapsedge BC.Game +21%Prestige · 2 maps
AncientBC.Game ban
50%38%
BC.Game · 0 mapsedge BC.Game +12%Prestige · 4 maps
CachePrestige ban
75%50%
BC.Game · 4 mapsedge BC.Game +25%Prestige · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
71%60%
BC.Game · 3 mapsedge BC.Game +11%Prestige · 1 map
AnubisBC.Game ban
40%40%
BC.Game · 1 mapnearly even +0%Prestige · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
2. BanPrestige remove Cache
3. BanBC.Game remove Anubis
4. BanPrestige remove Mirage
5. BanBC.Game remove Nuke
6. BanPrestige remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (71% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct14:16
BC.Game 40%Prestige 60%
The model gave 60% on Prestige — the map was taken by Prestige.
Model check result
Model favoriteBC.Game · 57%
Series resultPrestige 14:16
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1