ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
MTX#359 in the world · loss 10:13series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 10:13
9INE#80 in the world · win 13:10The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMTX ban
50%46%
MTX · 0 mapsnearly even +4%9INE · 9 maps
Cachepossible decider
40%55%
MTX · 1 mapedge 9INE +15%9INE · 7 maps
AncientMTX ban
50%60%
MTX · 0 mapsedge 9INE +10%9INE · 6 maps
Mirage9INE ban
40%56%
MTX · 1 mapedge 9INE +16%9INE · 5 maps
AnubisMTX ban
50%44%
MTX · 0 mapsedge MTX +6%9INE · 5 maps
Dust29INE ban
50%38%
MTX · 0 mapsedge MTX +12%9INE · 4 maps
Default9INE ban
50%40%
MTX · 0 mapsedge MTX +10%9INE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMTX remove Anubis
2. Ban9INE remove Dust2
3. BanMTX remove Ancient
4. Ban9INE remove Mirage
5. BanMTX remove Nuke
6. Ban9INE remove Default
DeciderCache (40% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct10:13
MTX 40%9INE 60%
The model gave 60% on 9INE — the map was taken by 9INE.
Model check result
Model favorite9INE · 80%
Series result9INE 10:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1