ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
EAC EXTRAloss 1:13series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 1:13
FOKUS#48 in the world · win 13:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2EAC EXTRA ban
50%44%
EAC EXTRA · 0 mapsedge EAC EXTRA +6%FOKUS · 12 maps
NukeEAC EXTRA ban
50%50%
EAC EXTRA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%FOKUS · 12 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%47%
EAC EXTRA · 0 mapsnearly even +3%FOKUS · 11 maps
CacheEAC EXTRA ban
50%80%
EAC EXTRA · 0 mapsedge FOKUS +30%FOKUS · 11 maps
MirageFOKUS ban
40%42%
EAC EXTRA · 1 mapnearly even -2%FOKUS · 8 maps
AnubisFOKUS ban
40%63%
EAC EXTRA · 1 mapedge FOKUS +23%FOKUS · 4 maps
InfernoFOKUS ban
50%38%
EAC EXTRA · 0 mapsedge EAC EXTRA +12%FOKUS · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEAC EXTRA remove Dust2
2. BanFOKUS remove Inferno
3. BanEAC EXTRA remove Cache
4. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
5. BanEAC EXTRA remove Nuke
6. BanFOKUS remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (50% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct1:13
EAC EXTRA 20%FOKUS 80%
The model gave 80% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 82%
Series resultFOKUS 1:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1