ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nordic Partners#118 in the world · loss 6:13series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 6:13
SINNERS#45 in the world · win 13:6The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Nordic Partners ban
29%63%
Nordic Partners · 3 mapsedge SINNERS +34%SINNERS · 20 maps
Miragepossible decider
56%59%
Nordic Partners · 5 mapsnearly even -3%SINNERS · 18 maps
CacheSINNERS ban
30%42%
Nordic Partners · 6 mapsedge SINNERS +12%SINNERS · 15 maps
AncientNordic Partners ban
33%61%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsedge SINNERS +28%SINNERS · 14 maps
InfernoNordic Partners ban
29%40%
Nordic Partners · 3 mapsedge SINNERS +11%SINNERS · 11 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
47%50%
Nordic Partners · 11 mapsnearly even -3%SINNERS · 0 maps
NukeSINNERS ban
50%45%
Nordic Partners · 4 mapsedge Nordic Partners +5%SINNERS · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNordic Partners remove Ancient
2. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
3. BanNordic Partners remove Dust2
4. BanSINNERS remove Nuke
5. BanNordic Partners remove Inferno
6. BanSINNERS remove Cache
DeciderMirage (56% / 59%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
Nordic Partners 46%SINNERS 54%
The model gave 54% on SINNERS — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 75%
Series resultSINNERS 6:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1