ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
HAVU#107 in the world · loss 6:13series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 6:13
BBL#49 in the world · win 13:6The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBBL ban
75%53%
HAVU · 16 mapsedge HAVU +22%BBL · 13 maps
MirageBBL ban
53%42%
HAVU · 13 mapsedge HAVU +11%BBL · 8 maps
InfernoHAVU ban
40%55%
HAVU · 6 mapsedge BBL +15%BBL · 7 maps
AncientHAVU ban
44%56%
HAVU · 5 mapsedge BBL +12%BBL · 5 maps
CacheHAVU ban
33%33%
HAVU · 5 mapsnearly even +0%BBL · 5 maps
Dust2BBL ban
36%50%
HAVU · 10 mapsedge BBL +14%BBL · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%67%
HAVU · 2 mapsedge BBL +17%BBL · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHAVU remove Cache
2. BanBBL remove Dust2
3. BanHAVU remove Ancient
4. BanBBL remove Mirage
5. BanHAVU remove Inferno
6. BanBBL remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct6:13
HAVU 39%BBL 61%
The model gave 61% on BBL — the map was taken by BBL.
Model check result
Model favoriteBBL · 70%
Series resultBBL 6:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1