ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Sangal#48 in the world · win 13:7series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 13:7
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheXEPT ban
67%50%
Sangal · 8 mapsedge Sangal +17%XEPT · 0 maps
NukeXEPT ban
75%50%
Sangal · 8 mapsedge Sangal +25%XEPT · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%40%
Sangal · 6 mapsedge Sangal +10%XEPT · 1 map
AncientSangal ban
56%40%
Sangal · 5 mapsedge Sangal +16%XEPT · 1 map
Dust2Sangal ban
40%50%
Sangal · 6 mapsedge XEPT +10%XEPT · 0 maps
AnubisXEPT ban
67%50%
Sangal · 5 mapsedge Sangal +17%XEPT · 0 maps
InfernoSangal ban
50%40%
Sangal · 0 mapsedge Sangal +10%XEPT · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSangal remove Inferno
2. BanXEPT remove Nuke
3. BanSangal remove Dust2
4. BanXEPT remove Cache
5. BanSangal remove Ancient
6. BanXEPT remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Sangal 60%XEPT 40%
The model gave 60% on Sangal — the map was taken by Sangal.
Model check result
Model favoriteSangal · 81%
Series resultSangal 13:7
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1