ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
MTX#359 in the world · loss 3:13series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 3:13
EAC EXTRAwin 13:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheEAC EXTRA ban
40%40%
MTX · 1 mapnearly even +0%EAC EXTRA · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
40%40%
MTX · 1 mapnearly even +0%EAC EXTRA · 1 map
AncientMTX ban
40%50%
MTX · 1 mapedge EAC EXTRA +10%EAC EXTRA · 0 maps
AnubisMTX ban
50%40%
MTX · 0 mapsedge MTX +10%EAC EXTRA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMTX remove Anubis
2. BanEAC EXTRA remove Cache
3. BanMTX remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct3:13
MTX 40%EAC EXTRA 60%
The model gave 60% on EAC EXTRA — the map was taken by EAC EXTRA.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC EXTRA · 58%
Series resultEAC EXTRA 3:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1