ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
BC.Game#60 in the world · win 13:2series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 13:2
BASEMENT BOYS#96 in the world · loss 2:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBC.Game ban
45%62%
BC.Game · 7 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +17%BASEMENT BOYS · 17 maps
Miragepossible decider
67%60%
BC.Game · 5 mapsedge BC.Game +7%BASEMENT BOYS · 16 maps
AncientBC.Game ban
50%48%
BC.Game · 0 mapsnearly even +2%BASEMENT BOYS · 19 maps
Dust2BASEMENT BOYS ban
75%53%
BC.Game · 4 mapsedge BC.Game +22%BASEMENT BOYS · 13 maps
CacheBASEMENT BOYS ban
75%50%
BC.Game · 4 mapsedge BC.Game +25%BASEMENT BOYS · 10 maps
AnubisBC.Game ban
40%56%
BC.Game · 1 mapedge BASEMENT BOYS +16%BASEMENT BOYS · 5 maps
InfernoBASEMENT BOYS ban
71%40%
BC.Game · 3 mapsedge BC.Game +31%BASEMENT BOYS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
2. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Inferno
3. BanBC.Game remove Anubis
4. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Cache
5. BanBC.Game remove Nuke
6. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:2
BC.Game 75%BASEMENT BOYS 25%
The model gave 75% on BC.Game — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteBC.Game · 69%
Series resultBC.Game 13:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1