ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Prestige#100 in the world · loss 4:8series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 4:8
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPrestige ban
33%40%
Prestige · 5 mapsedge Glitch +7%Glitch · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
50%60%
Prestige · 2 mapsedge Glitch +10%Glitch · 1 map
Dust2Glitch ban
60%40%
Prestige · 1 mapedge Prestige +20%Glitch · 1 map
NukeGlitch ban
67%50%
Prestige · 2 mapsedge Prestige +17%Glitch · 0 maps
AnubisPrestige ban
40%50%
Prestige · 1 mapedge Glitch +10%Glitch · 0 maps
MiragePrestige ban
60%50%
Prestige · 1 mapedge Prestige +10%Glitch · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPrestige remove Anubis
2. BanGlitch remove Nuke
3. BanPrestige remove Mirage
4. BanGlitch remove Dust2
5. BanPrestige remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct4:8
Prestige 40%Glitch 60%
The model gave 60% on Glitch — the map was taken by Glitch.
Model check result
Model favoritePrestige · 71%
Series resultGlitch 4:8
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1