ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
HAVU#107 in the world · win 16:12series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 16:12
Sangal#48 in the world · loss 12:16The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
75%75%
HAVU · 16 mapsnearly even +0%Sangal · 8 maps
MirageSangal ban
53%55%
HAVU · 13 mapsnearly even -2%Sangal · 7 maps
Dust2Sangal ban
36%40%
HAVU · 10 mapsnearly even -4%Sangal · 6 maps
CacheHAVU ban
33%67%
HAVU · 5 mapsedge Sangal +34%Sangal · 8 maps
AncientHAVU ban
40%56%
HAVU · 6 mapsedge Sangal +16%Sangal · 5 maps
AnubisHAVU ban
40%67%
HAVU · 1 mapedge Sangal +27%Sangal · 5 maps
InfernoSangal ban
40%50%
HAVU · 6 mapsedge Sangal +10%Sangal · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHAVU remove Anubis
2. BanSangal remove Inferno
3. BanHAVU remove Cache
4. BanSangal remove Dust2
5. BanHAVU remove Ancient
6. BanSangal remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (75% / 75%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed16:12
HAVU 48%Sangal 52%
The model gave 52% on Sangal — the map was taken by HAVU.
Model check result
Model favoriteSangal · 69%
Series resultHAVU 16:12
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1