ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Johnny Speeds#73 in the world · loss 12:16series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 12:16
MTX#359 in the world · win 16:12The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
33%40%
Johnny Speeds · 5 mapsedge MTX +7%MTX · 1 map
CacheJohnny Speeds ban
50%40%
Johnny Speeds · 4 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +10%MTX · 1 map
Dust2MTX ban
56%50%
Johnny Speeds · 5 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +6%MTX · 0 maps
AncientJohnny Speeds ban
60%33%
Johnny Speeds · 1 mapedge Johnny Speeds +27%MTX · 2 maps
NukeMTX ban
43%50%
Johnny Speeds · 3 mapsedge MTX +7%MTX · 0 maps
InfernoMTX ban
67%50%
Johnny Speeds · 2 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +17%MTX · 0 maps
AnubisJohnny Speeds ban
40%50%
Johnny Speeds · 1 mapedge MTX +10%MTX · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJohnny Speeds remove Anubis
2. BanMTX remove Inferno
3. BanJohnny Speeds remove Cache
4. BanMTX remove Nuke
5. BanJohnny Speeds remove Ancient
6. BanMTX remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (33% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed12:16
Johnny Speeds 60%MTX 40%
The model gave 60% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by MTX.
Model check result
Model favoriteJohnny Speeds · 88%
Series resultMTX 12:16
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1