ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FOKUS#48 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BBL#49 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBBL pick
50%53%
FOKUS · 12 mapsnearly even -3%BBL · 13 maps
CacheFOKUS pick
82%33%
FOKUS · 13 mapsedge FOKUS +49%BBL · 5 maps
Ancientpossible decider
47%60%
FOKUS · 11 mapsedge BBL +13%BBL · 6 maps
MirageFOKUS ban
42%42%
FOKUS · 8 mapsnearly even +0%BBL · 8 maps
InfernoFOKUS ban
33%50%
FOKUS · 5 mapsedge BBL +17%BBL · 8 maps
Dust2BBL ban
44%50%
FOKUS · 12 mapsedge BBL +6%BBL · 0 maps
AnubisBBL ban
63%40%
FOKUS · 4 mapsedge FOKUS +23%BBL · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Inferno
2. BanBBL remove Dust2
3. PickFOKUS take Cache
4. PickBBL take Nuke
5. BanBBL remove Anubis
6. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (47% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:5
FOKUS 44%BBL 56%
The model gave 56% on BBL — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Cacheprediction missed4:13
FOKUS 91%BBL 9%
The model gave 91% on FOKUS — the map was taken by BBL.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
FOKUS 50%BBL 50%
The model gave 50% on FOKUS — the map was taken by BBL.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 51%
Series resultBBL 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3