ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 2:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BASEMENT BOYS#96 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEternal Fire pick
65%48%
Eternal Fire · 16 mapsedge Eternal Fire +17%BASEMENT BOYS · 19 maps
MirageBASEMENT BOYS pick
56%60%
Eternal Fire · 14 mapsnearly even -4%BASEMENT BOYS · 16 maps
Dust2Eternal Fire ban
72%56%
Eternal Fire · 14 mapsedge Eternal Fire +16%BASEMENT BOYS · 14 maps
Cachepossible decider
58%47%
Eternal Fire · 15 mapsedge Eternal Fire +11%BASEMENT BOYS · 11 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
50%62%
Eternal Fire · 0 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +12%BASEMENT BOYS · 17 maps
AnubisBASEMENT BOYS ban
54%56%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsnearly even -2%BASEMENT BOYS · 5 maps
InfernoBASEMENT BOYS ban
57%40%
Eternal Fire · 10 mapsedge Eternal Fire +17%BASEMENT BOYS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
2. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Inferno
3. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
4. PickBASEMENT BOYS take Mirage
5. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Anubis
6. BanEternal Fire remove Dust2
DeciderCache (58% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct12:16
Eternal Fire 42%BASEMENT BOYS 58%
The model gave 58% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by BASEMENT BOYS.
Cacheprediction correct13:7
Eternal Fire 64%BASEMENT BOYS 36%
The model gave 64% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
Eternal Fire 67%BASEMENT BOYS 33%
The model gave 67% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 66%
Series resultEternal Fire 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3