ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BC.Game#60 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BBL#49 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBBL pick
45%50%
BC.Game · 7 mapsedge BBL +5%BBL · 14 maps
Miragepossible decider
67%46%
BC.Game · 5 mapsedge BC.Game +21%BBL · 9 maps
CacheBC.Game pick
80%40%
BC.Game · 6 mapsedge BC.Game +40%BBL · 6 maps
InfernoBC.Game ban
71%50%
BC.Game · 3 mapsedge BC.Game +21%BBL · 8 maps
AncientBC.Game ban
50%60%
BC.Game · 0 mapsedge BBL +10%BBL · 6 maps
Dust2BBL ban
75%50%
BC.Game · 4 mapsedge BC.Game +25%BBL · 0 maps
AnubisBBL ban
40%40%
BC.Game · 1 mapnearly even +0%BBL · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
2. BanBBL remove Dust2
3. PickBC.Game take Cache
4. PickBBL take Nuke
5. BanBBL remove Anubis
6. BanBC.Game remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (67% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
BC.Game 37%BBL 63%
The model gave 63% on BBL — the map was taken by BBL.
Cacheprediction correct13:7
BC.Game 87%BBL 13%
The model gave 87% on BC.Game — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Infernoprediction missed11:13
BC.Game 71%BBL 29%
The model gave 71% on BC.Game — the map was taken by BBL.
Model check result
Model favoriteBBL · 54%
Series resultBBL 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3