Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisGalactik rebels pick
40%40%
Galactik rebels · 1 mapnearly even +0%lafox · 1 map
Dust2lafox ban
50%40%
Galactik rebels · 0 mapsedge Galactik rebels +10%lafox · 1 map
NukeGalactik rebels ban
40%50%
Galactik rebels · 1 mapedge lafox +10%lafox · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalactik rebels remove Nuke
2. Banlafox remove Dust2
3. PickGalactik rebels take Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
Galactik rebels 53%lafox 47%
The model gave 53% on Galactik rebels — the map was taken by Galactik rebels.
Anubisprediction missed16:14
Galactik rebels 47%lafox 53%
The model gave 53% on lafox — the map was taken by Galactik rebels.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalactik rebels · 50%
Series resultGalactik rebels 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2