1win Private Club Season 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegion#19 in the world · win 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BET-M#62 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
55%52%
GamerLegion · 7 mapsnearly even +3%BET-M · 17 maps
AncientGamerLegion pick
46%33%
GamerLegion · 9 mapsedge GamerLegion +13%BET-M · 14 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
40%47%
GamerLegion · 6 mapsedge BET-M +7%BET-M · 15 maps
MirageBET-M ban
27%53%
GamerLegion · 7 mapsedge BET-M +26%BET-M · 13 maps
InfernoBET-M pick
50%67%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsedge BET-M +17%BET-M · 14 maps
AnubisGamerLegion ban
50%50%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BET-M · 8 maps
CacheBET-M ban
75%50%
GamerLegion · 8 mapsedge GamerLegion +25%BET-M · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
2. BanBET-M remove Cache
3. PickGamerLegion take Ancient
4. PickBET-M take Inferno
5. BanBET-M remove Mirage
6. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (55% / 52%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
GamerLegion 66%BET-M 34%
The model gave 66% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
GamerLegion 31%BET-M 69%
The model gave 69% on BET-M — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 74%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2