1win Private Club Season 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · win 1:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Color pick
46%67%
Nuclear TigeRES · 22 mapsedge Color +21%Color · 20 maps
Ancientpossible decider
63%57%
Nuclear TigeRES · 20 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +6%Color · 10 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES ban
52%58%
Nuclear TigeRES · 17 mapsedge Color +6%Color · 8 maps
InfernoNuclear TigeRES pick
74%55%
Nuclear TigeRES · 15 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +19%Color · 7 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
22%76%
Nuclear TigeRES · 5 mapsedge Color +54%Color · 13 maps
CacheColor ban
56%33%
Nuclear TigeRES · 5 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +23%Color · 8 maps
NukeColor ban
43%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsedge Color +7%Color · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanColor remove Nuke
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Inferno
4. PickColor take Dust2
5. BanColor remove Cache
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (63% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Nuclear TigeRES 50%Color 50%
The model gave 50% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 59%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1