Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ABT#124 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 1:2
9INE#80 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nuke9INE pick
50%67%
ABT · 0 mapsedge 9INE +17%9INE · 5 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%38%
ABT · 0 mapsedge ABT +12%9INE · 4 maps
AncientABT ban
50%43%
ABT · 0 mapsedge ABT +7%9INE · 3 maps
Anubis9INE ban
50%33%
ABT · 0 mapsedge ABT +17%9INE · 2 maps
CacheABT pick
50%33%
ABT · 0 mapsedge ABT +17%9INE · 2 maps
InfernoABT ban
50%67%
ABT · 0 mapsedge 9INE +17%9INE · 2 maps
Mirage9INE ban
50%60%
ABT · 0 mapsedge 9INE +10%9INE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanABT remove Inferno
2. Ban9INE remove Anubis
3. PickABT take Cache
4. Pick9INE take Nuke
5. Ban9INE remove Mirage
6. BanABT remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (50% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed2:13
ABT 69%9INE 31%
The model gave 69% on ABT — the map was taken by 9INE.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
ABT 54%9INE 46%
The model gave 54% on ABT — the map was taken by ABT.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
ABT 33%9INE 67%
The model gave 67% on 9INE — the map was taken by 9INE.
Model check result
Model favorite9INE · 82%
Series result9INE 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3