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Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BC.Game#60 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BASEMENT BOYS#96 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBASEMENT BOYS ban
56%57%
BC.Game · 5 mapsnearly even -1%BASEMENT BOYS · 10 maps
Dust2BASEMENT BOYS pick
29%60%
BC.Game · 3 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +31%BASEMENT BOYS · 11 maps
NukeBC.Game ban
67%63%
BC.Game · 2 mapsnearly even +4%BASEMENT BOYS · 12 maps
AncientBC.Game ban
50%67%
BC.Game · 0 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +17%BASEMENT BOYS · 11 maps
Anubispossible decider
40%60%
BC.Game · 1 mapedge BASEMENT BOYS +20%BASEMENT BOYS · 6 maps
InfernoBASEMENT BOYS ban
50%40%
BC.Game · 0 mapsedge BC.Game +10%BASEMENT BOYS · 6 maps
CacheBC.Game pick
67%50%
BC.Game · 2 mapsedge BC.Game +17%BASEMENT BOYS · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
2. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Inferno
3. PickBC.Game take Cache
4. PickBASEMENT BOYS take Dust2
5. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Mirage
6. BanBC.Game remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
BC.Game 63%BASEMENT BOYS 37%
The model gave 63% on BC.Game — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Nukeprediction missed10:13
BC.Game 52%BASEMENT BOYS 48%
The model gave 52% on BC.Game — the map was taken by BASEMENT BOYS.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
BC.Game 48%BASEMENT BOYS 52%
The model gave 52% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteBC.Game · 60%
Series resultBC.Game 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3