Odyssey Cup Brazil 2026 Finals · BO5
result vs prediction
Yawara#156 in the world · win 3:1series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 3:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Yawara pick
69%60%
Yawara · 12 mapsedge Yawara +9%UNO MILLE · 11 maps
MirageYawara pick
67%44%
Yawara · 8 mapsedge Yawara +23%UNO MILLE · 5 maps
InfernoUNO MILLE pick
50%60%
Yawara · 6 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%UNO MILLE · 6 maps
AnubisUNO MILLE pick
43%75%
Yawara · 3 mapsedge UNO MILLE +32%UNO MILLE · 4 maps
OverpassYawara ban
60%67%
Yawara · 1 mapedge UNO MILLE +7%UNO MILLE · 5 maps
AncientUNO MILLE ban
33%50%
Yawara · 5 mapsedge UNO MILLE +17%UNO MILLE · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%43%
Yawara · 1 mapedge Yawara +17%UNO MILLE · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Overpass
2. BanUNO MILLE remove Ancient
3. PickYawara take Dust2
4. PickUNO MILLE take Anubis
5. PickYawara take Mirage
6. PickUNO MILLE take Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:4
Yawara 36%UNO MILLE 64%
The model gave 64% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by Yawara.
Overpassprediction missed13:9
Yawara 40%UNO MILLE 60%
The model gave 60% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by Yawara.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
Yawara 62%UNO MILLE 38%
The model gave 62% on Yawara — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Anubisprediction missed13:9
Yawara 18%UNO MILLE 82%
The model gave 82% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 67%
Series resultYawara 3:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 4