FRAG TAP Reloaded 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wanted Goons#225 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Reign Above#324 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientReign Above ban
40%50%
Wanted Goons · 1 mapedge Reign Above +10%Reign Above · 2 maps
MirageReign Above pick
40%50%
Wanted Goons · 1 mapedge Reign Above +10%Reign Above · 2 maps
AnubisWanted Goons ban
50%67%
Wanted Goons · 0 mapsedge Reign Above +17%Reign Above · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%60%
Wanted Goons · 1 mapedge Reign Above +20%Reign Above · 1 map
Dust2Wanted Goons pick
60%40%
Wanted Goons · 1 mapedge Wanted Goons +20%Reign Above · 1 map
InfernoWanted Goons ban
40%40%
Wanted Goons · 1 mapnearly even +0%Reign Above · 1 map
NukeReign Above ban
60%50%
Wanted Goons · 1 mapedge Wanted Goons +10%Reign Above · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWanted Goons remove Anubis
2. BanReign Above remove Nuke
3. PickWanted Goons take Dust2
4. PickReign Above take Mirage
5. BanReign Above remove Ancient
6. BanWanted Goons remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
Wanted Goons 47%Reign Above 53%
The model gave 53% on Reign Above — the map was taken by Reign Above.
Nukeprediction missed17:19
Wanted Goons 63%Reign Above 37%
The model gave 63% on Wanted Goons — the map was taken by Reign Above.
Model check result
Model favoriteWanted Goons · 53%
Series resultReign Above 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2