BetBoom Circuit X Base Recife 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#56 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BESTIA#65 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
50%57%
Fluxo · 4 mapsedge BESTIA +7%BESTIA · 3 maps
AncientBESTIA ban
33%60%
Fluxo · 2 mapsedge BESTIA +27%BESTIA · 1 map
NukeFluxo ban
40%50%
Fluxo · 1 mapedge BESTIA +10%BESTIA · 2 maps
InfernoFluxo pick
50%50%
Fluxo · 2 mapsnearly even +0%BESTIA · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
60%60%
Fluxo · 1 mapnearly even +0%BESTIA · 1 map
AnubisBESTIA ban
60%50%
Fluxo · 1 mapedge Fluxo +10%BESTIA · 0 maps
OverpassFluxo ban
50%40%
Fluxo · 0 mapsedge Fluxo +10%BESTIA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Overpass
2. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
3. PickFluxo take Inferno
4. PickBESTIA take Dust2
5. BanBESTIA remove Ancient
6. BanFluxo remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
Fluxo 40%BESTIA 60%
The model gave 60% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Infernoprediction missed3:13
Fluxo 53%BESTIA 47%
The model gave 53% on Fluxo — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 68%
Series resultBESTIA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2