FRAG TAP Reloaded 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Coop#151 in the world · win 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
F5#208 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoChicken Coop pick
57%57%
Chicken Coop · 3 mapsnearly even +0%F5 · 3 maps
AncientChicken Coop ban
50%43%
Chicken Coop · 2 mapsedge Chicken Coop +7%F5 · 3 maps
NukeF5 pick
38%60%
Chicken Coop · 4 mapsedge F5 +22%F5 · 1 map
Overpasspossible decider
57%50%
Chicken Coop · 3 mapsedge Chicken Coop +7%F5 · 2 maps
Dust2F5 ban
38%50%
Chicken Coop · 4 mapsedge F5 +12%F5 · 0 maps
DefaultF5 ban
50%50%
Chicken Coop · 2 mapsnearly even +0%F5 · 0 maps
AnubisChicken Coop ban
50%40%
Chicken Coop · 0 mapsedge Chicken Coop +10%F5 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChicken Coop remove Anubis
2. BanF5 remove Dust2
3. PickChicken Coop take Inferno
4. PickF5 take Nuke
5. BanF5 remove Default
6. BanChicken Coop remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:2
Chicken Coop 47%F5 53%
The model gave 53% on F5 — the map was taken by Chicken Coop.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
Chicken Coop 31%F5 69%
The model gave 69% on F5 — the map was taken by Chicken Coop.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Coop · 70%
Series resultChicken Coop 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2