FRAG TAP Reloaded 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
SportsBetExpert#69 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisNXG ban
67%50%
SportsBetExpert · 2 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +17%NXG · 0 maps
InfernoSportsBetExpert pick
60%60%
SportsBetExpert · 1 mapnearly even +0%NXG · 1 map
AncientNXG ban
60%50%
SportsBetExpert · 1 mapedge SportsBetExpert +10%NXG · 0 maps
Dust2NXG pick
50%40%
SportsBetExpert · 0 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +10%NXG · 1 map
OverpassSportsBetExpert ban
50%60%
SportsBetExpert · 0 mapsedge NXG +10%NXG · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSportsBetExpert remove Overpass
2. BanNXG remove Anubis
3. PickSportsBetExpert take Inferno
4. PickNXG take Dust2
5. BanNXG remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:0
SportsBetExpert 57%NXG 43%
The model gave 57% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by SportsBetExpert.
Infernoprediction correct13:1
SportsBetExpert 53%NXG 47%
The model gave 53% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by SportsBetExpert.
Model check result
Model favoriteSportsBetExpert · 59%
Series resultSportsBetExpert 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2