CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ursa#88 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TNC#147 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeTNC pick
33%61%
Ursa · 11 mapsedge TNC +28%TNC · 14 maps
Dust2Ursa pick
61%36%
Ursa · 14 mapsedge Ursa +25%TNC · 10 maps
Miragepossible decider
55%65%
Ursa · 7 mapsedge TNC +10%TNC · 13 maps
AncientUrsa ban
50%53%
Ursa · 0 mapsnearly even -3%TNC · 13 maps
AnubisUrsa ban
50%67%
Ursa · 2 mapsedge TNC +17%TNC · 8 maps
OverpassTNC ban
33%38%
Ursa · 5 mapsedge TNC +5%TNC · 4 maps
InfernoTNC ban
36%50%
Ursa · 7 mapsedge TNC +14%TNC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUrsa remove Ancient
2. BanTNC remove Inferno
3. PickUrsa take Dust2
4. PickTNC take Nuke
5. BanTNC remove Overpass
6. BanUrsa remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (55% / 65%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Ursa 50%TNC 50%
The model gave 50% on Ursa — the map was taken by TNC.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC · 50%
Series resultTNC 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1