CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
brazylijski luz#146 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vexar#141 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientbrazylijski luz ban
42%67%
brazylijski luz · 8 mapsedge Vexar +25%Vexar · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%57%
brazylijski luz · 2 mapsedge brazylijski luz +10%Vexar · 3 maps
Dust2Vexar pick
63%60%
brazylijski luz · 4 mapsnearly even +3%Vexar · 1 map
MirageVexar ban
33%50%
brazylijski luz · 5 mapsedge Vexar +17%Vexar · 0 maps
AnubisVexar ban
57%50%
brazylijski luz · 3 mapsedge brazylijski luz +7%Vexar · 0 maps
Infernobrazylijski luz ban
40%50%
brazylijski luz · 1 mapedge Vexar +10%Vexar · 2 maps
Nukebrazylijski luz pick
71%50%
brazylijski luz · 3 mapsedge brazylijski luz +21%Vexar · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banbrazylijski luz remove Inferno
2. BanVexar remove Anubis
3. Pickbrazylijski luz take Nuke
4. PickVexar take Dust2
5. BanVexar remove Mirage
6. Banbrazylijski luz remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (67% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed12:16
brazylijski luz 74%Vexar 26%
The model gave 74% on brazylijski luz — the map was taken by Vexar.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
brazylijski luz 60%Vexar 40%
The model gave 60% on brazylijski luz — the map was taken by Vexar.
Model check result
Model favoritebrazylijski luz · 62%
Series resultVexar 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2