CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gentle Mates#38 in the world · win 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GenOne#95 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeGenOne pick
36%59%
Gentle Mates · 7 mapsedge GenOne +23%GenOne · 18 maps
Dust2Gentle Mates ban
50%70%
Gentle Mates · 0 mapsedge GenOne +20%GenOne · 23 maps
AncientGentle Mates pick
73%39%
Gentle Mates · 7 mapsedge Gentle Mates +34%GenOne · 14 maps
Infernopossible decider
55%64%
Gentle Mates · 7 mapsedge GenOne +9%GenOne · 7 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
57%42%
Gentle Mates · 3 mapsedge Gentle Mates +15%GenOne · 8 maps
AnubisGentle Mates ban
57%60%
Gentle Mates · 3 mapsnearly even -3%GenOne · 6 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%50%
Gentle Mates · 6 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGentle Mates remove Dust2
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickGentle Mates take Ancient
4. PickGenOne take Nuke
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanGentle Mates remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (55% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:4
Gentle Mates 44%GenOne 56%
The model gave 56% on GenOne — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Nukeprediction missed13:7
Gentle Mates 26%GenOne 74%
The model gave 74% on GenOne — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Model check result
Model favoriteGentle Mates · 79%
Series resultGentle Mates 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2