NODWIN Clutch Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Young Ninjas#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
WAZABI#251 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientWAZABI ban
60%29%
Young Ninjas · 6 mapsedge Young Ninjas +31%WAZABI · 3 maps
Dust2WAZABI ban
38%50%
Young Ninjas · 9 mapsedge WAZABI +12%WAZABI · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
44%33%
Young Ninjas · 5 mapsedge Young Ninjas +11%WAZABI · 2 maps
NukeYoung Ninjas pick
67%50%
Young Ninjas · 5 mapsedge Young Ninjas +17%WAZABI · 2 maps
MirageYoung Ninjas ban
38%50%
Young Ninjas · 4 mapsedge WAZABI +12%WAZABI · 0 maps
DefaultWAZABI pick
50%60%
Young Ninjas · 2 mapsedge WAZABI +10%WAZABI · 1 map
OverpassYoung Ninjas ban
57%50%
Young Ninjas · 3 mapsedge Young Ninjas +7%WAZABI · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYoung Ninjas remove Mirage
2. BanWAZABI remove Ancient
3. PickYoung Ninjas take Nuke
4. PickWAZABI take Default
5. BanWAZABI remove Dust2
6. BanYoung Ninjas remove Overpass
DeciderAnubis (44% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:10
Young Ninjas 59%WAZABI 41%
The model gave 59% on Young Ninjas — the map was taken by Young Ninjas.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
Young Ninjas 69%WAZABI 31%
The model gave 69% on Young Ninjas — the map was taken by Young Ninjas.
Model check result
Model favoriteWAZABI · 66%
Series resultYoung Ninjas 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2