CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Oramond#119 in the world · win 2:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Leo#89 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisOramond pick
55%40%
Oramond · 7 mapsedge Oramond +15%Leo · 6 maps
Dust2possible decider
42%63%
Oramond · 8 mapsedge Leo +21%Leo · 4 maps
MirageLeo ban
67%60%
Oramond · 8 mapsedge Oramond +7%Leo · 1 map
AncientOramond ban
50%29%
Oramond · 2 mapsedge Oramond +21%Leo · 3 maps
NukeLeo ban
43%33%
Oramond · 3 mapsedge Oramond +10%Leo · 2 maps
InfernoOramond ban
50%60%
Oramond · 2 mapsedge Leo +10%Leo · 1 map
DefaultLeo pick
50%50%
Oramond · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Leo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOramond remove Inferno
2. BanLeo remove Mirage
3. PickOramond take Anubis
4. PickLeo take Default
5. BanLeo remove Nuke
6. BanOramond remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (42% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
Oramond 67%Leo 33%
The model gave 67% on Oramond — the map was taken by Oramond.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Oramond 28%Leo 72%
The model gave 72% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
Oramond 71%Leo 29%
The model gave 71% on Oramond — the map was taken by Oramond.
Model check result
Model favoriteOramond · 66%
Series resultOramond 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3